There are significant differences among multiple institutions regarding the future policies of the Federal Reserve, with expectations for both interest rate hikes and cuts coexisting
According to Jinshi, multiple institutions have significant disagreements regarding the future policy direction of the Federal Reserve. Goldman Sachs believes that if inflation does not cool down, the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates in September or in the fall, while Huatai Securities expects rates to remain unchanged in September, with the probability of a rate hike by the end of the year close to 50%. Regarding rate cuts, Nordea Bank believes that cuts may be delayed until 2027, while Citigroup expects cuts in 2026. Other institutions such as JPMorgan Chase and CITIC Securities tend to favor maintaining the current policy.
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